Premier League predictions: Liverpool to win at Chelsea

Fresh from some wednesday winners, Jones Knows takes aim at the Premier League matches this weekend …

Any midweek winners for Jones Knows?

Leicester to beat Liverpool at 13/2
Brighton +2 handicap & 10+ shots at 4/1
Chelsea to draw 1-1 with Brighton 10/1
Lucas Moura to have a shot on target at 11/10
Crystal Palace to win to nil vs Norwich at 5/4
Wins for Man City, Palace & West Ham

Live: SNF

Saturday 1st January 5:00pm

Brentford vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Aston Villa have become one of the meanest defences in the Premier League since Steven Gerrard took charge.

Reading: Premier League predictions: Liverpool to win at Chelsea

It ‘s providing them with a fantastic base to work with in terms of getting positive results. Since the arrival of Gerrard in November, Villa have won four of their seven Premier League games with all three defeats coming against Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester City. In those four wins against Brighton, Crystal Palace, Norwich and Leicester they have averaged an expect goals against figure of 0.7 per game and faced an average of just 8.2 shots per game. Of course, it ‘s a little sample distribution size but that ‘s a defensive record that puts them on par with Manchester City. The early signs are very positivist for the future for Gerrard and his new club .
interim, Brentford are a full-bodied side at home that do n’t offer up many chances to their opposition, as Manchester City found out as they created precisely 1.04 expect goals against the Bees – the lowest sum they ‘ve posted on the road this temper. To have played City, Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal at base this season and to have the sixth-best dwelling expected goals against output is a dangerous accomplishment for a newly-promoted side. When you factor in both defences, a low marking affair should be on the cards. Villa possibly have that extra bit of quality in the concluding third so I ‘ve taken them to edge it. SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1
BETTING ANGLE: Aston Villa to win and under 2.5 goals (4/1 with Sky Bet)

Everton vs Brighton, Sunday 2pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

I ca n’t have Brighton in this one at 11/8 with Sky Bet, particularly if dominic Calvert-Lewin is fit to play. He can be the difference-maker on his return bringing with him a 50 per cent win rate when he plays against 21 per cent when he ‘s missing. Brighton do n’t have person of his cruelty or exponent in the final one-third which will continue to hold them bet on at putting in concert consistent winning runs. They have besides won barely one of their death 13 Premier League games, albeit drawing nine of those. Brighton were signally impressive at Stamford Bridge in wednesday but one area where they struggled was their inability to defend set-pieces. That probably stems from Lewis Dunk being missing. Over their last five fixtures, Brighton have shipped 5.2 shots per game from set-pieces, the third-highest modal of all Premier League teams during that period. With him hush in the discussion room, Everton should be confident of getting plenty of joy from those areas. My eyes have been drawn to the 10/11 on Michael Keane having one or more shots at finish. The Everton centre-back carries a big threat when venturing advancing and has fired a blast in 12 of his 17 appearances this season. SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 BETTING ANGLE: Michael Keane to have 1+ shots (10/11 with Sky Bet)

Leeds vs Burnley, Sunday 2pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Bring your hard hats. If you like your football roughly, ready and fully of foul then this is right up your street. The importance of this match wo n’t be lost on both sets of players and the air inside Elland Road is likely to light the equal paper. Unlike other teams who could drop into a relegation trash, the Leeds fans look cook to muck in with their team. They are behind the coach and seem very unite after a roll of injuries has decimated their team, none more so than to Kalvin Phillips, who looks set to be out until March. A seismic botch to their hopes of climbing the table. Burnley will be arriving with three points on their mind, besides. A succeed for them would draw Leeds right into the mix. The match prices look about right to me with Leeds rightly favoured at Evens and Burnley at 13/5. If you ‘re pushing me, I ‘ll play the draw and go search in the cards market. The reverse fixture at Turf Moor between these two produced seven cards and with the explosive air predicted, referee Kevin Friend may have his hands wax. Leeds sit top of the most yellow cards awarded board this temper ( 50 ) but besides have drawn the most yellow cards from the confrontation in 2021 ( 88 ). Unsurprisingly, their fixtures this season have averaged more cards than any early team. The crippled to produce 50+ booking points at odds-against should do the commercial enterprise. SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 BETTING ANGLE: 50+ booking points (11/10 with Sky Bet)

Chelsea vs Liverpool, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports

trope :
Chelsea vanadium Liverpool, live on Sky Sports
I ‘m all over a Liverpool away win at 11/8 with Sky Bet. My tendency in these ‘monster ‘ encounters between two title capable winning team is to go searching for value for the game to be a low-scoring, tactical affair. not this time. flush at this stage of the season draw are no function for both in their pursuit of Manchester City. Three points or nothing has to be the method of attack. This game has the hallmarks of a classic, involving plenty of goalmouth natural process and shots – and on the footing of what I ‘ve seen from Chelsea in the past few weeks, most of the attacks will be steamrolling in their focus. Whether it would be seaworthiness issues or merely a general miss of confidence in the camp, they are miles aside from their early-season operation levels. The way in which Brighton cut through their midfield time-after-time on Wednesday will have got Jurgen Klopp licking his lips as will have the lack of chances created from afford play from the Blues. Remember, this is a Chelsea team that against Arsenal on the second week of the season created 18 chances from loose play in one repair. such is their current malaise, they have created a entire of 18 chances from open play in their concluding three fixtures combined against Brighton, Aston Villa and Wolves. Liverpool have n’t got that trouble. Yes, they head to Stamford Bridge on the back of a get the better of to Leicester but it ‘s not a prison term to panic for them. The attacking process remains frighteningly good, averaging just over 2.5 expect goals per 90 minutes in their final eight fixtures. Chelsea have kept just one clean sheet in their final eight Premier League games. It ‘s intemperate to see them improving that record against the rampant Reds ahead note. With the expect match scenario being one of high tempo, goals and draws being no good to either team, the match shots market is besides worth a visit. Liverpool are averaging 19.5 shots per 90 minutes this season and I ‘d expect them to hit just below that number in this one as Chelsea are shipping more shots on their goal than earlier this season. Brighton managed 18 in wednesday, Leeds hit 12 and Watford 14. With Tuchel ‘s team improbable to be allowed to sit binding by the home plate crowd, they ‘ll be flying forward and should besides be relied on to get shot away. That makes the shots lines with Sky Bet very appealing with 27+ ( 11/10 ), 29+ ( 15/8 ) and 31+ ( 3/1 ) worth a nibble.